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Rule of 72

 

Rule of 72


In finance, the rule of 72, the rule of 70[1] and the rule of 69.3 are methods for estimating an investment's doubling time. The rule number (e.g., 72) is divided by the interest percentage per period (usually years) to obtain the approximate number of periods required for doubling. Although scientific calculators and spreadsheet programs have functions to find the accurate doubling time, the rules are useful for mental calculations and when only a basic calculator is available.[2]

These rules apply to exponential growth and are therefore used for compound interest as opposed to simple interest calculations. They can also be used for decay to obtain a halving time. The choice of number is mostly a matter of preference: 69 is more accurate for continuous compounding, while 72 works well in common interest situations and is more easily divisible. There is a number of variations to the rules that improve accuracy. For periodic compounding, the exact doubling time for an interest rate of r percent per period is

,

where t is the number of periods required. The formula above can be used for more than calculating the doubling time. If one wants to know the tripling time, for example, replace the constant 2 in the numerator with 3. As another example, if one wants to know the number of periods it takes for the initial value to rise by 50%, replace the constant 2 with 1.5.


Rule of 72

Ruleof72

The time required for a given principal to double (assuming n=1 conversion period) for compound interest is given by solving

2P=P(1+r)^t,
(1)

or

t=(ln2)/(ln(1+r)),
(2)

where ln is the natural logarithm. This function can be approximated by the so-called "rule of 72":

t approx (0.72)/r.
(3)

The above plots show the actual doubling time t (left plot) and the difference between the actual doubling time and the doubling time calculated using the rule of 72 (right plot) as a function of the interest rate r.

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